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Family Planning Stabilizes Population, But Global Investment Is Down
計(jì)劃生育初見成效,全球投入?yún)s在減少

“There has been tremendous declines in fertility.The key has been the prevention of unwanted births, really around the globe.”
“出生率在大幅下降,關(guān)鍵是控制全球的意外生育現(xiàn)象。”

John Casterline directs the Initiative in Population Research at Ohio State.He spoke at the AAAS meeting in Washington on February 20th.
約翰·卡泰靈監(jiān)督了俄亥俄州人口普查計(jì)劃。他2月20日于華盛頓的美國科學(xué)促進(jìn)協(xié)會(huì)會(huì)議上發(fā)表了講話。

“This is a really remarkable public health success story that I think doesn’t get featured with all the other kinds of success we’ve had in eliminating some diseases and so forth.But the story is not complete yet.There’s still a considerable amount of unintended fertility, especially in some parts of Asia and Africa.
“這真是一個(gè)關(guān)于公眾健康的成功案例,反響極大,但我并不認(rèn)為它所取得成就的性質(zhì)和根除疾病相同。因?yàn)檫@個(gè)事件并未結(jié)束。尤其在亞洲和非洲的某些地區(qū)仍存在非預(yù)期的生育情況?!?/div>

“What are the prospects now looking forward that we can address that level of unwanted fertility?Well, on a hopeful side we know that there are very high levels of unmet need for family planning.So if we were to satisfy that unmet need, various analyses show we would go a long way towards achieving the reduction in birth rates that are required to achieve global population stabilization.
“我們對可以解決的意外生育的期望是什么呢?樂觀地說,我們知道計(jì)劃生育仍有著較高且未滿足的需求。所以如果我們想滿足這些需求,各種分析表明,為達(dá)到使全球人口穩(wěn)定的出生率,我們還有很長的路要走。

“On the less hopeful side, we’ve been successively underinvesting in family planning internationally.As the number, actually, of women in need has grown, the investment has declined.”
“悲觀地說,我們在計(jì)劃生育上面付出的努力還不夠。女性的需求在增長時(shí),這種努力成功的可能性就會(huì)下降。”

—Steve Mirsky

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